This Weekend's Picks

So far on the season, I am 19-13 on the football games each weekend. I hope to improve that number (it's about 59%) this weekend. Here's my picks:

Baltimore over Cleveland
Houston over Dallas
Detroit over Minnesota
New Orleans over Atlanta
Pittsburgh over Tampa Bay
Washington over St. Louis
Indianapolis over Denver
New York Jets over Miami
Cincinatti over Carolina
San Fransico over Kansas City
New England over Buffalo
New York Giants over Tennessee
Philadelphia over Jacksonville
Oakland over Arizona
San Diego over Seattle

and for Monday Night,
Green Bay over Chicago

I feel pretty solid about them after getting a look at the teams for two weeks now. The two that are obviously a little risky are Oakland over Arizona and Detroit over Minnesota.
I don't like the way that the Vikings have been playing, as it's been pretty poor. The Lions aren't something to rave about, but they did come within a score of beating both Philadelphia and Chicago (actually they came within about a second of Calvin Johnson showing possession to win against Chicago). I think it will be a close call, but the Vikings are beat up already, and even with Shaun Hill under center, the Lions will look to take a lead over their division rivals.
Arizona would have had a better chance to be my pick over Oakland, but I've liked the Raiders' upside this year and last. They are in a state of turmoil at QB right now, but Gradkowski will start, and he's probably worthy of starting in this league, at least for a team like Oakland. If Arizona didn't have their own QB controversy going on, then they might have had a solid pick over Oakland. But Derek Anderson looks like he has in all but one year of his career, and Max Hall is simply too young to start. The fact that neither of these guys can get it close enough to Fitzgerald to do his magic is almost appalling.

This week looks bad for the home teams. I've only picked five home teams to win, with eleven visitors taking the victories. Home field may have a factor, but these teams need to show me that this week and maybe my decisions will have more of an impact based on home teams.